Royalties · 30D
42,318 $NFA
+ 12.4% vs prev
Brier score · weighted
0.182
▲ improving 0.014
Runs served · 24h
1,847
+ 23.0%
Active scenarios
7
2 trending
Earnings inflow
Your scenarios
Publish new →Scenario
Category
Runs · 24h
Brier
Earned 24h
Status
Mideast peace stalls — oil reaction
v2.3
Geopolitics
412
0.149
3,201 $NFA
Live
Fed dot plot — September decision
v4.1
Macro / rates
387
0.171
2,840 $NFA
Live
NVDA earnings beat — guidance shock
v1.8
Equities
301
0.193
2,114 $NFA
Live
UK GE — Reform vote-share regression
v0.9
Elections
194
0.221
1,408 $NFA
Live
MLB World Series — bullpen fatigue
v3.0
Sports
152
0.241
963 $NFA
Paused
BTC ETF flow — sticky-money model
v1.0
Crypto
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Draft
Leaderboard position
Full leaderboard →#7
Top 1% — Geopolitics
Up 4 places this week. Three accurate calls on Mideast desk.
Next tier
2,400 runs to Platinum
2,400 runs to Platinum